1 THE FORESIGHTED SOCIETY 4
Conclusions for the future 5
Attitudes 5
Knowledge 5
Infrastructure 6
Driving forces 6
2 PIONEERING TECHNOLOGIES 8
IT 8
The new biology 9
Materials technology 10
3 FUTURE TRENDS 12
Outside pressures 12
More open borders mean stiffer competition – and new opportunities 12
Environmental issues drive society and business 13
Knowledge capital 14
Intellectual capital is growing 15
New working methods and living patterns 15
Greater individualization 16
More, older, healthier 16
The move into cities generates new needs 17
Ethics and privacy 18
4 THE PANELS LOOK AT THE FUTURE 19
Technology in the ser vice of man 19
A richer and freer life… 19
… but will there be any free time – and any security? 20
A healthier life for ever yone … 21
… but how do we deal with escalating medical care costs and the new
ethical issues? 21
A good environment and good growth opportunities in successful regions
and cities… 22
… but will it be possible to continue living in other parts of Sweden?
Can our major cities cope with competition and renewal? 22
Flourishing growth of new businesses… 23
… but will it be possible to keep up with rapid international developments? 24
5 A FORESIGHTED SWEDEN – KNOWLEDGE AND RENEWAL 25
Attitudes for the future 27
Knowledge 28
The schools in the frontline 29
Lifelong learning 29
Education – not courses 30
A multidisciplinar y approach 30
Infrastructures for renewal 30
II SWEDISH TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT
– EIGHT PANEL REPORTS 32
6 SUMMARIES OF THE PANEL REPORTS 32
Panel 1 Health, medicine and care 32
Panel 2 Biological natural resources 33
Panel 3 Society’s infrastructure 36
Panel 4 The production system 39
Panel 5 Information and communications systems 43
Panel 6 Materials and material flows in the community 46
Panel 7 Ser vice industries 48
Panel 8 Education and learning 49
III SWEDISH TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT – IMPLEMENTATION
AND CONTINUATION 51
7 TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT JUST THE BEGINNING … 51
Why Technology Foresight? 51
Hindsight 52
This is how Technology Foresight was implemented 53
The process moves ahead… 56
Dissemination of findings 56
Broadening and intensifying the process 56
Recurring Technology Foresights? 57
Evaluation 57