" The chapter presents six scenarios constructed through
the OECD/CERI programme on “Schooling for Tomorrow”.
Their purpose is to sharpen understanding of how schooling
might develop in the years to come and the potential role of
policy to help shape these futures. While this does not
exhaust approaches to forward-looking policy thinking, scenario
development is a particularly effective way of bringing
together the “big picture” of strategic aims, the long-term
processes of change, and multiple sets of variables. Perhaps
surprisingly, forward thinking of this kind has been relatively
little developed in education compared with other policy
sectors, despite education’s fundamental characteristic of

yielding benefits over very long time spans. Former Swedish
Education Minister Ylva Johansson, in her conclusions as
Chair of the Rotterdam conference described forward-thinking
approaches in education as “woefully under-developed”. A
major challenge for policy-making in this field is both to
make it more genuinely long-term in vision and to integrate
more effectively knowledge about education and its wider
environment into the process of reflection and governance."

 

"Need for policy reflection on longterm future of schooling…

… and for clarifying the desirable and the possible"

 

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Here are 6 scenarios: for more explainatins, press the button "Download This" below